The psychology of dissident republicanism
Recently I saw the film City of God: two hours of men shooting each other in the Brazilian slums. Yesterday, coffee with a friend included a long discussion about the implications for Irish republicanism of the events of the past two weeks, including Martin McGuiness’s ‘traitors’ statement and the arrest of Colin Duffy.
Readers may by now be wondering where this post is going, apart from those who are enjoying the idea of two middle-aged women sitting in a South Belfast coffee house mulling over the history of the physical force tradition. Anyway, we were remarking on the youth of two of the men arrested for the murder of Constable Carroll in Craigavon, and the survival of the concept of fighting for Ireland into a generation that can’t remember the bad old days – but who have their heroes, such as Colin Duffy.
In Northern Ireland, a small number of ideologues who believe it’s still possible to achieve a united Ireland through violence can capture the imagination of young people (usually men) and encourage them to take part in murder. But throughout the world, murder is committed for many reasons, some ideological and some criminal. In City of God, the local drugs trade was carved up into gang-controlled areas, with predictably lethal results. If your standing in the community can be increased by shooting a policeman, or dealing drugs, or blowing yourself up, it’s much more of an incentive if other options are unattractive - such as a legal but low-paid job, or a life on the dole.
So what makes a young person in Northern Ireland get involved with dissident republicans, rather than knocking on doors to increase the Sinn Féin vote? And why now? Is it a desire for a united Ireland, in which disadvantage will magically vanish? Or is it the volatile combination of deprivation, testosterone and hero worship that plays out in many parts of the world in different ways, but with the same desperate result? The answer might get us closer to being able to stop it.


